|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
While it is rather rare that value gurus sell stocks short, Robert Olstein has been selling short in his Financial Alert Fund. The accountant-turned fund manager spots values by looking behind the numbers. In the second quarter of 2004, Robert Olstein sold short American Italian Pasta Co. (PLB) at $31. After about 6 months he covered at $20, easily made more than $1 million for his fund. Currently he is shorting two stocks: Computer Sciences Corp (CSC) and Fleetwood Enterprises Inc (FLE), although things do not always go that smoothly.
Robert Olstein is certainly one of the best money managers (that is why he is in GuruFocus's Hall of Fame). The strategy of looking behind the numbers has brought his fund a 15.5% average annual return over 10 years after all fees. Its only down year was 2002, off 19%. In 2000, the year the tech bubble burst, the fund was up 12%, and in 2001, up 17%.
Robert Olstein started shorting Computer Sciences Corp (CSC) in the first quarter of 2004 at an average price of $41. He said that the accounting of CSC is not in accord with its economic reality, CSC is worth about $30. The price of CSC did not go down, however. He then shorted more shares. But the price of CSC went up, by the fourth quarter of 2004, the price of CSC was $56. It came down some in the first quarter of 2005, Robert Olstein was confident enough to short more shares again. As of the end of the first quarter, his shorting position in CSC totaled 504,500 shares with an average price of $42. As of this writing, the price of CSC is $46.4.
The other short selling of Robert Olstein is Fleetwood Enterprises Inc (FLE). He thinks that Fleetwood Enterprises Inc is worth about $5-6 per share. He sold short 1,195,500 shares of FLE at about $9.2 per share in the first quarter of 2005. Right now Fleetwood has a price of $9.5 per share.
Interestingly, another highly respected value manager, GuruFocus guru, Robert Rodriguez, does not agree with his value peer Olstein. In the fourth quarter of 2004, Rodriguez added 269,500 shares of FLE to his holdings at around $14 per share. As the share price dropped to $9, he added 2,261,900 more shares, which makes his total holding of Fleetwood to 3,714,400 shares.
Who is right, Robert vs. Robert?
Dr. Charlie Tian is the Director of Research of GuruFocus.com, a website tracks the stock picks and market insight of guru investors such as Warren Buffett, George Soros etc.
Pre-1933 Gold Outperforms Today's Gold Bullion...Since 1970, an investment strategy... Read More
50% Of U.S. Households Invest In The Stock Market Individuals... Read More
The best way to avoid being hit hard by a... Read More
If you own a company that sells complicated products and... Read More
In recent months, many advisors have talked a lot about... Read More
You don't HAVE to be trading.As a novice trader, you'll... Read More
For those who have never given their financial future a... Read More
The straddle strategy is an option strategy that's based on... Read More
First and foremost, an opportunistic strategy for creating wealth in... Read More
An option is a derivative trading product that is best... Read More
Do you have the right temperament?Starting a small business is... Read More
The one thing I can think of that most affects... Read More
CATCHING A FALLING KNIFEOne of the most common mistakes made... Read More
Computerized investing. Online investing. Have you taken the next step... Read More
Have you considered buying a franchise instead of trying to... Read More
Investments are scary for some people, especially those who have... Read More
The USS Constitution first ventured into the waters in 1798.... Read More
Do you ever wonder exactly what's going on in the... Read More
The Value of Gold in a Era of Paper Assets,... Read More
How much are you willing to pay for a tank... Read More
You hear it over and over and over in books,... Read More
With the stock market in steep decline, people are looking... Read More
Ready to start playing with your money? Not interested in... Read More
If you are looking for a safe investment and you... Read More
I recently received an e-mail from a young lady who... Read More
First of all, I want to give everyone the disclaimer... Read More
Have you ever noticed how some words in the English... Read More
Over the course of the past two months, readers have... Read More
FOREX, the term for the FOReign EXchange market, is an... Read More
As I take my leisurely walk with my dog through... Read More
Rich people: fortunate, lucky, selfish, and arrogant? Or highly educated,... Read More
(Please have a glass of water within reach before reading... Read More
There are many steps in calculating the fair value of... Read More
If you own a company that sells complicated products and... Read More
If you've ever listened to Warren Buffett talk about investing,... Read More
Investments are scary for some people, especially those who have... Read More
Some time ago I attended a seminar where participants were... Read More
In my opinion trading is the most exciting and best... Read More
In part 1 of this article I started to look... Read More
No matter how much money you make, it pays to... Read More
There is a cat fight brewing between Direcway LLC, Starband... Read More
Setting Up a Paper Trading AccountQuestion: I cannot trade with... Read More
The Light Crude Continuous Contract hit an all-time high at... Read More
First and foremost, an opportunistic strategy for creating wealth in... Read More
Angel investors are individuals who invest in emerging business ventures.... Read More
AbstractA very slim minority of firms distribute dividends. This truism... Read More
"The American Age of Inflation is finished." So says economist... Read More
1. Begin investing immediatelyProcrastination is the number one enemy of... Read More
Denial is a ubiquitous psychological defense mechanism. It involves the... Read More
What is the value of a good habit? Think of... Read More
Investing Investing |